How accurate are polls

How accurate are polls in predicting outcomes?

I see them used a lot in Reasons why Trump cannot win in November. Disclaimer, because Im not here to pursue a pro Trump or Anti Trump thread. I support Ted Cruz. But if Trump wins the nomination, I would vote for him (I know, electoral college, but lets pretend it matters).

So How accurate are polls in March? The polling in the mid term elections did predict that the republicans would win in a land slide. Also, from what I have read, polls can turn around really quickly. How many of you have faith that polls in march will predict the outcome of a november election?

Quote:

OVER the past two years, election polling has had some spectacular disasters. Several organizations tracking the 2014 midterm elections did not catch the Republican wave that led to strong majorities in both houses;

Lib source: NYT article from 2015
http://ift.tt/1SkhFgg

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Last edited by skyscraper; 03-24-2016 at 4:41 PM..

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How accurate are polls